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	<title>Comments on: From Dog Meat in the Dog House to Dog GONE Dinger</title>
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		<title>By: Raf</title>
		<link>http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/2010/05/30/from-dog-meat-in-the-dog-house-to-dog-gone-dinger/#comment-114534</link>
		<dc:creator>Raf</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 31 May 2010 14:37:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/?p=35123#comment-114534</guid>
		<description>26 runs in 3 games against the Indians, even though they&#039;re 2 of 3 so far, with that kind of production, more often than not you&#039;re going to win your fair share of games.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>26 runs in 3 games against the Indians, even though they&#8217;re 2 of 3 so far, with that kind of production, more often than not you&#8217;re going to win your fair share of games.</p>
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		<title>By: seamus</title>
		<link>http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/2010/05/30/from-dog-meat-in-the-dog-house-to-dog-gone-dinger/#comment-114533</link>
		<dc:creator>seamus</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 31 May 2010 13:56:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/?p=35123#comment-114533</guid>
		<description>We have the second best record in baseball AFTER a slump.  I&#039;ll take that any day 3.5 games out or not.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We have the second best record in baseball AFTER a slump.  I&#8217;ll take that any day 3.5 games out or not.</p>
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		<title>By: OldYanksFan</title>
		<link>http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/2010/05/30/from-dog-meat-in-the-dog-house-to-dog-gone-dinger/#comment-114532</link>
		<dc:creator>OldYanksFan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 31 May 2010 12:32:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/?p=35123#comment-114532</guid>
		<description>Back a few years ago, how do you think the Sox would be doing 50 games into the season if Papi had a .726 OPS and Manny had a .831 OPS?

Would they have a .600 record with a +69 RS/RA difference?

Every year, at any time during the year, certain guys will be up, and certain guys will be down. However, having your 2 biggest bats slumping would hurt any team. My guess is Teix and ARod will play much better the rest of the season, and I expect to Win the Division.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Back a few years ago, how do you think the Sox would be doing 50 games into the season if Papi had a .726 OPS and Manny had a .831 OPS?</p>
<p>Would they have a .600 record with a +69 RS/RA difference?</p>
<p>Every year, at any time during the year, certain guys will be up, and certain guys will be down. However, having your 2 biggest bats slumping would hurt any team. My guess is Teix and ARod will play much better the rest of the season, and I expect to Win the Division.</p>
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		<title>By: jjmerlock</title>
		<link>http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/2010/05/30/from-dog-meat-in-the-dog-house-to-dog-gone-dinger/#comment-114531</link>
		<dc:creator>jjmerlock</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 31 May 2010 09:30:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/?p=35123#comment-114531</guid>
		<description>As I mentioned in another thread, you hoped that the schedule was setting up to help the Yankees hang on until Posada&#039;s return, which - particularly with Johnson going from bad start to unavailable - makes the lineup a markedly more potent beast, but the Yanks haven&#039;t given us a lot of confidence in that scenario, even in taking two of the first three of this stretch.

I also mentioned that I had been patiently waiting for Granderson&#039;s return, and, so far, pretty good...

But I won&#039;t deny that this team looks very sketchy, at the moment. The Yanks have had two big recent wins that were of the rabbit out of a hat variety: first, the Minnesota rain delayed game. Baker was - inexcusably - at 50 pitches through 5 innings. AJ had gone five scoreless at a much greater cost. The full day delay was a massive gift, and they cashed it in. Yesterday looked like another pull your hair out loss, and then there was a late inning, two out explosion. 

I never saw the bullpen looking this God-awful coming into this season - didn&#039;t see that coming, at all. 

But the main point of this post is to share some numbers - I had mentioned that the Rays had piled up their ridiculous start against somewhat suspect opposition, and had shown some numbers that backed that up. Head to head, I do think the Rays look better *right now* - but the numbers might be cause for any Rays-worshipers to take pause. 

Two sets of numbers - 

1) a look at the Yankees, Rays, and Red Sox&#039; respective schedules so far, viewing opposing teams as home versions and road versions, combining last year&#039;s records pre-September (you get some sketchy games and lineups in September) with current records and

2) the same thing, but using only this year&#039;s records (for folks like William, who think that everything you need to know you know by fifty games in, and that the season is basically, you know, set in stone from here on in).

A glaring omission is that I haven&#039;t run these for the Blue Jays, who are ahead of the Red Sox in the standings (are the Blue Jays for real, or just pretenders?).

Anyway -

#1: Opponent Winning Percentage, mixing last year and current records:

Yankees&#039; Opponents: .530

Rays&#039; Opponents: .490

Red Sox&#039; Opponents: .509

#2: Opponent Winning Percentage, current records only:

Yankees&#039; Opponents: .522

Rays&#039; Opponents: .453

Red Sox&#039; Opponents: .506


Now, all of this may be an extra elaborate way of saying that the Yankees have played less games at home than the other two teams, but this is a statistical way of really examining who has faced what so far.

I can talk about some of the weird results so far that may be influencing the final numbers, and there are some strange records so far that may be completely unrepresentative, or may mean that certain teams are moving in one direction or another.

A few things that stand out: teams are simply completely different units at home versus on the road. The AL West is strong at home, and absolutely horrible so far on the road. 

It is unbelievable how bad Baltimore is every year. When you look at the losses they pile up, it&#039;s almost shocking. 

Things are also really ugly in Seattle. 

Lastly, I don&#039;t know if this means much, at all, but that Rays&#039; opponent winning percentage in the second set of numbers kind of jumps off the page. 

Using current records, Rays&#039; opponents (using my home/away splits methodology) have a combined .453 winning percentage? Yikes. If that means anything at all, they have played a lousy schedule thus far.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As I mentioned in another thread, you hoped that the schedule was setting up to help the Yankees hang on until Posada&#8217;s return, which &#8211; particularly with Johnson going from bad start to unavailable &#8211; makes the lineup a markedly more potent beast, but the Yanks haven&#8217;t given us a lot of confidence in that scenario, even in taking two of the first three of this stretch.</p>
<p>I also mentioned that I had been patiently waiting for Granderson&#8217;s return, and, so far, pretty good&#8230;</p>
<p>But I won&#8217;t deny that this team looks very sketchy, at the moment. The Yanks have had two big recent wins that were of the rabbit out of a hat variety: first, the Minnesota rain delayed game. Baker was &#8211; inexcusably &#8211; at 50 pitches through 5 innings. AJ had gone five scoreless at a much greater cost. The full day delay was a massive gift, and they cashed it in. Yesterday looked like another pull your hair out loss, and then there was a late inning, two out explosion. </p>
<p>I never saw the bullpen looking this God-awful coming into this season &#8211; didn&#8217;t see that coming, at all. </p>
<p>But the main point of this post is to share some numbers &#8211; I had mentioned that the Rays had piled up their ridiculous start against somewhat suspect opposition, and had shown some numbers that backed that up. Head to head, I do think the Rays look better *right now* &#8211; but the numbers might be cause for any Rays-worshipers to take pause. </p>
<p>Two sets of numbers &#8211; </p>
<p>1) a look at the Yankees, Rays, and Red Sox&#8217; respective schedules so far, viewing opposing teams as home versions and road versions, combining last year&#8217;s records pre-September (you get some sketchy games and lineups in September) with current records and</p>
<p>2) the same thing, but using only this year&#8217;s records (for folks like William, who think that everything you need to know you know by fifty games in, and that the season is basically, you know, set in stone from here on in).</p>
<p>A glaring omission is that I haven&#8217;t run these for the Blue Jays, who are ahead of the Red Sox in the standings (are the Blue Jays for real, or just pretenders?).</p>
<p>Anyway -</p>
<p>#1: Opponent Winning Percentage, mixing last year and current records:</p>
<p>Yankees&#8217; Opponents: .530</p>
<p>Rays&#8217; Opponents: .490</p>
<p>Red Sox&#8217; Opponents: .509</p>
<p>#2: Opponent Winning Percentage, current records only:</p>
<p>Yankees&#8217; Opponents: .522</p>
<p>Rays&#8217; Opponents: .453</p>
<p>Red Sox&#8217; Opponents: .506</p>
<p>Now, all of this may be an extra elaborate way of saying that the Yankees have played less games at home than the other two teams, but this is a statistical way of really examining who has faced what so far.</p>
<p>I can talk about some of the weird results so far that may be influencing the final numbers, and there are some strange records so far that may be completely unrepresentative, or may mean that certain teams are moving in one direction or another.</p>
<p>A few things that stand out: teams are simply completely different units at home versus on the road. The AL West is strong at home, and absolutely horrible so far on the road. </p>
<p>It is unbelievable how bad Baltimore is every year. When you look at the losses they pile up, it&#8217;s almost shocking. </p>
<p>Things are also really ugly in Seattle. </p>
<p>Lastly, I don&#8217;t know if this means much, at all, but that Rays&#8217; opponent winning percentage in the second set of numbers kind of jumps off the page. </p>
<p>Using current records, Rays&#8217; opponents (using my home/away splits methodology) have a combined .453 winning percentage? Yikes. If that means anything at all, they have played a lousy schedule thus far.</p>
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		<title>By: RIYank</title>
		<link>http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/2010/05/30/from-dog-meat-in-the-dog-house-to-dog-gone-dinger/#comment-114530</link>
		<dc:creator>RIYank</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 31 May 2010 00:40:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/?p=35123#comment-114530</guid>
		<description>[9] Oh, I wouldn&#039;t have a prayer straight up. I will use every technicality and rhetorical trick at my disposal.

[14] Good for A-Rod. I&#039;m not surprised... although I can imagine him saying exactly the wrong thing and then wondering why everyone was rolling their eyes.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[9] Oh, I wouldn&#8217;t have a prayer straight up. I will use every technicality and rhetorical trick at my disposal.</p>
<p>[14] Good for A-Rod. I&#8217;m not surprised&#8230; although I can imagine him saying exactly the wrong thing and then wondering why everyone was rolling their eyes.</p>
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		<title>By: OldYanksFan</title>
		<link>http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/2010/05/30/from-dog-meat-in-the-dog-house-to-dog-gone-dinger/#comment-114529</link>
		<dc:creator>OldYanksFan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 31 May 2010 00:10:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/?p=35123#comment-114529</guid>
		<description>h/t to Steve at WasWatching:
(bold is mine)
David Huff Fan Club (The Official Fan Page) I&#039;d like to thank the Yankees team doctors and our training for making sure i was ok. I&#039;d also like to thank the NY Yankees security staff for taking care of my family, they were amazing. &lt;b&gt;finally, to A Rod for contacting me on his way to the hospital, one class act.&lt;/b&gt; Everything is good.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>h/t to Steve at WasWatching:<br />
(bold is mine)<br />
David Huff Fan Club (The Official Fan Page) I&#8217;d like to thank the Yankees team doctors and our training for making sure i was ok. I&#8217;d also like to thank the NY Yankees security staff for taking care of my family, they were amazing. <b>finally, to A Rod for contacting me on his way to the hospital, one class act.</b> Everything is good.</p>
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		<title>By: Just Fair</title>
		<link>http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/2010/05/30/from-dog-meat-in-the-dog-house-to-dog-gone-dinger/#comment-114528</link>
		<dc:creator>Just Fair</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 May 2010 23:17:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/?p=35123#comment-114528</guid>
		<description>I went out for my first weeding adventure at 3-0.  What a great surprise to come in and see the recap.  Whoo and hoo.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I went out for my first weeding adventure at 3-0.  What a great surprise to come in and see the recap.  Whoo and hoo.</p>
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		<title>By: cult of basebaal</title>
		<link>http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/2010/05/30/from-dog-meat-in-the-dog-house-to-dog-gone-dinger/#comment-114527</link>
		<dc:creator>cult of basebaal</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 May 2010 23:07:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/?p=35123#comment-114527</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Scherzer was taken out of Sunday’s game after striking out two batters in the fifth but also walking one and hitting another. The 14 strikeouts fall two short of Mickey Lolich’s team record set in 1969.&lt;/i&gt;

The *other* reason we stuck with The American Idle, we didn&#039;t have THIS coming up ...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>Scherzer was taken out of Sunday’s game after striking out two batters in the fifth but also walking one and hitting another. The 14 strikeouts fall two short of Mickey Lolich’s team record set in 1969.</i></p>
<p>The *other* reason we stuck with The American Idle, we didn&#8217;t have THIS coming up &#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: cult of basebaal</title>
		<link>http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/2010/05/30/from-dog-meat-in-the-dog-house-to-dog-gone-dinger/#comment-114526</link>
		<dc:creator>cult of basebaal</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 May 2010 23:00:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/?p=35123#comment-114526</guid>
		<description>&lt;b&gt;I Sipp Your Milkshake&lt;/b&gt;

This.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><b>I Sipp Your Milkshake</b></p>
<p>This.</p>
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		<title>By: Diane Firstman</title>
		<link>http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/2010/05/30/from-dog-meat-in-the-dog-house-to-dog-gone-dinger/#comment-114525</link>
		<dc:creator>Diane Firstman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 May 2010 22:15:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/?p=35123#comment-114525</guid>
		<description>I was originally going to write this game up, and I was busy coming up with anagrams of Tony Sipp:

Pony Spit
Tiny Pops
Nippy Sot

and given the tenor and outcome of the game, my headline was either going to be:

I Sipp Your Milkshake

or

Yanks Find their Sippy Cups

Nice comeback, boys!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was originally going to write this game up, and I was busy coming up with anagrams of Tony Sipp:</p>
<p>Pony Spit<br />
Tiny Pops<br />
Nippy Sot</p>
<p>and given the tenor and outcome of the game, my headline was either going to be:</p>
<p>I Sipp Your Milkshake</p>
<p>or</p>
<p>Yanks Find their Sippy Cups</p>
<p>Nice comeback, boys!</p>
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		<title>By: ms october</title>
		<link>http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/2010/05/30/from-dog-meat-in-the-dog-house-to-dog-gone-dinger/#comment-114524</link>
		<dc:creator>ms october</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 May 2010 21:52:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/?p=35123#comment-114524</guid>
		<description>[8] yeah i certainly shouldn&#039;t have stopped listening to the game once it went 3-0.

the cage match should be fascinating.
going to work on any trick moves or just battle william straight up?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[8] yeah i certainly shouldn&#8217;t have stopped listening to the game once it went 3-0.</p>
<p>the cage match should be fascinating.<br />
going to work on any trick moves or just battle william straight up?</p>
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		<title>By: RIYank</title>
		<link>http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/2010/05/30/from-dog-meat-in-the-dog-house-to-dog-gone-dinger/#comment-114523</link>
		<dc:creator>RIYank</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 May 2010 21:23:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/?p=35123#comment-114523</guid>
		<description>[1] You were so right, cult.
Next time I&#039;ll have more faith. I was all wound up with the Alex Belth &quot;How about not sucking?&quot; thing.

I like the &#039;cage match&#039; idea, by the way...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[1] You were so right, cult.<br />
Next time I&#8217;ll have more faith. I was all wound up with the Alex Belth &#8220;How about not sucking?&#8221; thing.</p>
<p>I like the &#8216;cage match&#8217; idea, by the way&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: cult of basebaal</title>
		<link>http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/2010/05/30/from-dog-meat-in-the-dog-house-to-dog-gone-dinger/#comment-114522</link>
		<dc:creator>cult of basebaal</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 May 2010 21:21:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/?p=35123#comment-114522</guid>
		<description>[6] Make that 5/6</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[6] Make that 5/6</p>
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		<title>By: cult of basebaal</title>
		<link>http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/2010/05/30/from-dog-meat-in-the-dog-house-to-dog-gone-dinger/#comment-114521</link>
		<dc:creator>cult of basebaal</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 May 2010 20:34:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/?p=35123#comment-114521</guid>
		<description>4/5 4 RBI for Posey so far since his call up.

&lt;i&gt;&quot;Hey, Sabean! How my ASS taste?!?!?&quot;&lt;/i&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>4/5 4 RBI for Posey so far since his call up.</p>
<p><i>&#8220;Hey, Sabean! How my ASS taste?!?!?&#8221;</i></p>
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		<title>By: cult of basebaal</title>
		<link>http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/2010/05/30/from-dog-meat-in-the-dog-house-to-dog-gone-dinger/#comment-114520</link>
		<dc:creator>cult of basebaal</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 May 2010 20:32:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/?p=35123#comment-114520</guid>
		<description>Posey making Sabean look like a dumb, dumb man right now.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Posey making Sabean look like a dumb, dumb man right now.</p>
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		<title>By: cult of basebaal</title>
		<link>http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/2010/05/30/from-dog-meat-in-the-dog-house-to-dog-gone-dinger/#comment-114519</link>
		<dc:creator>cult of basebaal</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 May 2010 20:30:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/?p=35123#comment-114519</guid>
		<description>Watching Ian Kennedy vs Buster Posey right now ... I still wish we had Ian, instead of say ... Javy Vazquez ...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Watching Ian Kennedy vs Buster Posey right now &#8230; I still wish we had Ian, instead of say &#8230; Javy Vazquez &#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: ms october</title>
		<link>http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/2010/05/30/from-dog-meat-in-the-dog-house-to-dog-gone-dinger/#comment-114518</link>
		<dc:creator>ms october</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 May 2010 20:26:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/?p=35123#comment-114518</guid>
		<description>this felt like a much needed win.  i was outside and listening to the game.  when it was 3-0 i turned on my ipod in disgust.  came back inside just to see tex&#039;s hr.  nicely done.

but yeah really hope swish is okay - he has been excellent.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>this felt like a much needed win.  i was outside and listening to the game.  when it was 3-0 i turned on my ipod in disgust.  came back inside just to see tex&#8217;s hr.  nicely done.</p>
<p>but yeah really hope swish is okay &#8211; he has been excellent.</p>
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		<title>By: cult of basebaal</title>
		<link>http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/2010/05/30/from-dog-meat-in-the-dog-house-to-dog-gone-dinger/#comment-114517</link>
		<dc:creator>cult of basebaal</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 May 2010 20:23:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/?p=35123#comment-114517</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Swisher led-off with a single to center and moved to second on a force out by Miranda&lt;/i&gt;

To be honest, this was a ball that was PERFECTLY placed down the line. At any time the Indians weren&#039;t guarding the line, it would have been an easy double.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>Swisher led-off with a single to center and moved to second on a force out by Miranda</i></p>
<p>To be honest, this was a ball that was PERFECTLY placed down the line. At any time the Indians weren&#8217;t guarding the line, it would have been an easy double.</p>
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		<title>By: cult of basebaal</title>
		<link>http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/2010/05/30/from-dog-meat-in-the-dog-house-to-dog-gone-dinger/#comment-114516</link>
		<dc:creator>cult of basebaal</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 May 2010 20:21:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bronxbanterblog.com/?p=35123#comment-114516</guid>
		<description>Like I said in the game thread ...

&lt;blockquote&gt;
22. cult of basebaal
May 30th, 2010 at 1:43 pm

It’s a 18 wheeler Score Truck today, it takes time to gas up …
&lt;/blockquote&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Like I said in the game thread &#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>
22. cult of basebaal<br />
May 30th, 2010 at 1:43 pm</p>
<p>It’s a 18 wheeler Score Truck today, it takes time to gas up …
</p></blockquote>
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